Spain vs France Predictions, Stats & News

The Euro 2024 semi-finals get underway on Tuesday night as Spain meet France at the Allianz Arena in Munich (20:00 BST).

Setting The Scene

Spain will be coming into this clash feeling quietly confident, being the only side at the tournament to win five matches and having racked up 11 goals and more expected goals than anybody else with 10.5. 

In contrast, 2022 World Cup finalists France, have endured a difficult Euro 2024, failing to score a single goal from open play – their three strikes coming via two own goals and a Kylian Mbappe penalty. 

Les Bleus won the last meeting between the pair in 2021, running out 2-1 victors in the Nations League, but Spain have won five of the last eight clashes, with one of those coming en route to winning the 2012 edition of this tournament. 

France’s goal drought has a decent chance of coming to an end in Munich though, as La Roja’s Dani Carvajal and Robin Le Normand are both suspended for this tie, while Didier Deschamps has a full squad to choose from. 

Tip 1: Spain to qualify @ 4/5 with BetMGM

Even with their absences in defence, it is impossible to look past Spain for this tie based on what we have witnessed in Germany this summer. 

Luis de la Fuente has La Roja playing some scintillating football in attack while their midfield trio of Rodri, Fabian Ruiz and Dani Olmo, an early replacement for the injured Pedri, were immense in their quarter-final defeat of the hosts, with each creating chances going forward while nullifying the influence of Toni Kroos and co. 

Jesus Navas and Nacho Fernandez are hugely experienced defenders and are capable deputies, and it is difficult to envisage France troubling them much anyway based on their unconvincing quarter-final win over Portugal. 

Les Bleus managed just 0.92 expected goals from 20 shots in that clash, which resulted in a penalty shootout victory, and they are likely to struggle going forwards once more, facing a Spain side who kept three clean sheets in the group stage, including shutouts against Croatia and Italy. 

Deschamps’ men will look to grind out a result, but La Roja’s quality should shine through and help them to their first final since their 2012 triumph. 

Tip 2: Nico Williams to score anytime @ 11/2 with BetMGM

Athletic Bilbao’s Nico Williams has enjoyed an excellent breakout tournament in Germany, as Spain’s tactical switch from narrow, possession-based football to add pace and width to their side has given him a perfect role to fulfil in De La Fuente’s system. 

Playing on the left, Williams has caused havoc for every right-back he has faced this summer and while France’s right-sided defender Jules Kounde has been excellent himself, Les Bleus’ tactics could still see the Bilbao star get some chances in Munich. 

Portugal caused France plenty of problems by leaving Rafael Leao high and wide in their quarter-final clash, and De La Fuente could opt to follow suit. 

Williams has the pace and dribbling ability to cause damage if left unaccounted for, and the tricky winger, who scored against Georgia in the round of 16, looks a big price to find the net in this semi-final.