Week 3 NFL Predictions: James Conner, CeeDee Lamb and Hollywood Brown Prop Bets for Cowboys-Cardinals

It’s been a good start to Cardinals forecasting, as I’m 2-0 against the spread and 5-1 on prop bet picks.

I’m betting against the Cardinals for the first time this week, as I like the Cowboys to dominate on Sunday afternoon.

Goodbye, good vibes:https://t.co/pd4RHvwA3x

— Kyle Odegard (@Kyle_Odegard) September 21, 2023

Here are the three prop bet picks I like.

Cardinals RB James Conner over 14.5 rushing attempts (-110 at BetMGM)

I’ll be honest, I originally leaned toward the under on this number, but the facts cannot be ignored.

Conner has carried the ball 37 times for 168 yards and a touchdown through the first two games, at an impressive 4.5 yards per carry. He is a rare running back workhorse, there is no doubt about that.

The reason for my concern was game script, which has been favorable each of the first two weeks as the Cardinals have led going into the fourth quarter against the Commanders and Giants.

That is not expected to be the case in this one, and Arizona will likely be throwing plenty in the second half in an attempt to rally.

But Conner received 23 rushing attempts last week against the Giants, as backup running back Keaontay Ingram went from five carries in the opener to two on Sunday.

Ingram has seven carries for two yards this season while Conner has excelled, leaving me to believe that Conner will once again get the vast majority of the work.

He needs to accumulate the rushing attempts early on because the Cards could be pass-heavy late, but I think he gets there.

Cowboys WR CeeDee Lamb over 68.5 receiving yards (-115 at DraftKings)

Lamb is one of the best wide receivers in the NFL and the Cardinals don’t really have anyone who can guard him.

Marco Wilson was roasted in Week 2, giving up seven completions for 155 yards and a touchdown on nine targets. Rookie sixth-round pick Kei’Trel Clark has been good through two games but Lamb is a different animal.

He is averaging 110 receiving yards per game this season and 70.9 for his career.

The Cowboys will be taking their foot off the gas at some point in this game, but I’m betting on Lamb doing plenty of damage before that happens.

Cardinals WR Hollywood Brown over 42.5 receiving yards (-115 at DraftKings)

We took the over on Brown last week and it cashed by halftime. He finished with six catches for 54 yards and a touchdown on 10 targets.

This is a tougher matchup and the Dallas pass-rush is going to force quarterback Joshua Dobbs to get the ball out quickly, but I still like the number.

I would have stayed away if Trevon Diggs was playing, but now the Cowboys only have one upper-tier corner in Stephon Gilmore, while DaRon Bland moves to the outside to replace Diggs.

Brown is only averaging 5.5 yards per target through two games, which is much lower than his career average of 7.2, and while the quarterback situation contributes, his efficiency could be better in this one.

The Cardinals will likely pepper Brown with targets again and I think he gets to 43 receiving yards.

Prop Bets Record This Week: 2-1
Overall: 13-7