2022 Week 14 MNF Betting: Kyler Murray Passing Yards and Two Other Prop Bets for Cardinals-Patriots

We are going with value here today, taking a couple of underdog wagers in addition to a Jalen Thompson prop bet I couldn’t pass on.

I also like the Cardinals to beat the favored Patriots. Check out my score prediction.

Check out my prediction for Cardinals-Patriots at the bottom of this article:https://t.co/lcTfqwZda7

— Kyle Odegard (@Kyle_Odegard) December 12, 2022

Here are my three favorite prop bets for Monday Night Football:

Cardinals QB Kyler Murray over 238.5 pass yards (-105 at DraftKings)

The Arizona offense bogged down late in its most recent game against the Chargers, but there were flashes of explosiveness seen throughout the contest. Hollywood Brown and DeAndre Hopkins are finally on the field together, and that makes a world of difference because defenses can’t key on just one of them.

Even though Zach Ertz and Rondale Moore won’t play, I think Greg Dortch is a capable replacement in the slot, while Robbie Anderson can also be used in specific packages.

I don’t think the Patriots will want Kyler Murray to beat them with his legs, which could equate to a large percentage of zone defense and a high volume of throws. Murray will need to do a good job of dissecting it, but I think he will have a solid game and cruise past this passing yardage total.

Murray’s 6.1 yards per pass attempt this season is on track for a career low but I think we are going to see a more efficient offense down the stretch now that Hopkins and Brown are on the field together. The Patriots have a good pass defense but Arizona could have a surprisingly strong showing through the air in this matchup.

Cardinals WR Hollywood Brown over 5.5 receptions (+120 at DraftKings)

This is a high number for a No. 2 receiver going against a solid Patriots pass defense, but the chemistry between Brown and Murray is unquestionable.

Brown is averaging seven catches for 75 yards per game this season on 10 targets. The presence of Hopkins changes the calculus some and is the reason for the under being the heavy favorite, but when they were both on the field together in Week 12, Brown still had six catches on eight targets.

Bill Belichick loves to take away an opponent’s biggest strength, and he could decide to shade a safety over Hopkins for much of the contest. That would make Brown the biggest benefactor, and he’s shown clear ability to separate from defenders this season.

Murray always tends to look for his close friend on pass plays, and even if the receiving total isn’t huge, I think Brown gets peppered with targets and catches six or more balls in this game.

Cardinals S Jalen Thompson over 4.5 tackles (-115 at BetMGM)

The Patriots aren’t likely to be throwing a bunch in this game, but that’s not always where Thompson racks up his tackles anyway. If the defensive line continues to have trouble against the run he could be needed as a second-level helper to clean things up.

Thompson is one of the best tacklers in the NFL and tends to always be around the football. He has not reached five combined tackles in any of the past three games, but did so in eight of the first nine Arizona contests.

Thompson plays 100% of the snaps on defense, giving him ample opportunity to rack up the tackles. I like this wager a lot considering he’s averaging 5.5 tackles per game this season.

This week’s prop bets record: 5-4
Overall: 71-66