The Philadelphia Eagles are the last unbeaten team in the NFL and will aim to keep it rolling on Monday Night Football against the Washington Commanders.
The Eagles are heavy moneyline favorites, while the spread is set at -11. You can check out my prediction below.
Here are three prop bets I like for the matchup:
Taylor Heinicke under 33.5 pass attempts (+100 at BetMGM)
There is a strong likelihood that the Commanders’ quarterback will need to air it out in the final few minutes as his team attempts to rally from a deficit. Before that, though, I don’t see much reason for Washington to commit strongly to an aerial attack.
The Commanders are big underdogs and would love to keep this game to as few possessions as possible in hopes that a turnover or big play can help spur them to the upset. The Eagles are dominant against the pass this season but so-so against the run, and Washington’s best chance is to get things going on the ground.
Heinicke has yet to reach 34 pass attempts in three starts this season, and that setup has gotten the Commanders a pair of victories. If this game gets lopsided in a hurry then Washington will have no choice but to air it out, but hopefully the defense plays well enough to keep this game in reach so the game script doesn’t go haywire.
Everything points toward a conservative game plan for the Commanders, and the under on pass attempts is a solid bet at these odds.
Eagles OLB Haason Reddick To Record a Sack (-124 at FanDuel)
It was a slow start to the season for the premier edge rusher but Reddick has picked things up of late. He has 5.5 sacks over his past six games and has at least one in four of those. Reddick is seventh in the NFL in pass-rush win rate at 23% so he has a knack for being in the backfield.
Heinicke has only been sacked an average of two times per game in three starts this season, but I expect that number to be higher in this contest. Reddick should be in the mix, as he has elite speed off the edge.
The Philadelphia pressure is going to be stout, and Washington could be in serious pass-mode late. Even if Reddick doesn’t get an early sack, I think this wager will be alive until the waning seconds because of the way the game is likely to go.
Eagles QB Jalen Hurts Under 41.5 Rushing Yards (-105 at DraftKings)
Hurts’ main method of beating opponents in his first two seasons was with his legs. He averaged 5.6 yards per carry in each of those campaigns but struggled throwing the ball.
This year, Hurts is averaging 8.5 yards per pass attempt while only averaging 3.7 yards per carry. I think that trend continues in this game against a Washington defense that is No. 2 against the run this season but subpar against the pass.
Philadelphia still uses its ground game to open up the aerial attack, but Hurts is feeling very confident throwing it and I think the Eagles will find success there. If Philadelphia is up big in the second half, it will run the ball plenty, but I expect Miles Sanders to get the bulk of that action so Hurts avoids any unnecessary wear and tear on his body.
This week’s props bets record: 4-5
Overall: 55-46
