The blockbuster moves happened at a rapid pace this offseason, and finally the NFL carousel is slowing down. With the draft still a couple weeks away, this is a good time to take stock of every team around the league.
Here is my first dip into 2022 power rankings. Super Bowl betting odds via BetMGM on April 7.
1. Buffalo Bills
Super Bowl odds: +650
The Bills didn’t even make the AFC Championship Game, but they may have been the best team in the NFL by the end of the year. The roster is arguably even stronger heading into 2023 as GM Brandon Beane has done a masterful job of stockpiling talent with Josh Allen still getting paid below market value. This is the team to beat.
2. Kansas City Chiefs
Super Bowl odds: +900
It’s going to be really interesting to see if Patrick Mahomes can continue to put up otherworldly numbers without Tyreek Hill. The AFC West is a gauntlet and Kansas City’s roster is not as good as last year, but until proven otherwise, Mahomes is the best quarterback in the world and should have Kansas City in contention again.
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Super Bowl odds: +750
The return of Tom Brady vaults the Bucs back up to the top of the NFC, even with Bruce Arians’ retirement. Todd Bowles is a great defensive mind and Byron Leftwich will be fine calling plays without Arians. Tampa Bay has the strongest overall roster in the NFC and plays in a much easier division than the Rams.
4. Los Angeles Rams
Super Bowl odds: +1100
The Rams were clearly the best team in the NFC by the end of the season, but there is always a slight concern about the top-heavy nature of the roster. If Matthew Stafford, Aaron Donald or Jalen Ramsey suffers a significant injury, it could have a major effect. Then again, that could be said about any NFL roster.
5. Los Angeles Chargers
Super Bowl odds: +1600
Nearly every year, a team with a quarterback on his rookie contract skyrockets from average to dominant. The Chargers might be that team in 2022. Justin Herbert and the offense looks potent, while the additions of cornerback J.C. Jackson and edge rusher Khalil Mack will help improve the defense. Los Angeles has a lot to prove still, but I wouldn’t be surprised if it quickly becomes one of the league’s best teams.
6. Baltimore Ravens
Super Bowl odds: +2000
The Ravens had terrible injury- and close-game-luck last season, but should bounce back to contender status in 2022. Lamar Jackson is playing a dangerous game by not signing a lucrative contract extension, but he should be sufficiently motivated to put together a banner season, while the defense should again be among the NFL’s best.
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7. Cleveland Browns
Super Bowl odds: +1800
The Browns are gearing up for a Super Bowl push after trading for Amari Cooper and Deshaun Watson this offseason. Watson may get suspended after 22 women accused him of sexual misconduct.
8. Green Bay Packers
Super Bowl odds: +1100
This will be one of the most interesting teams to watch in 2022. Davante Adams and Za’Darius Smith have departed, but Aaron Rodgers is back to lead the way. Does Green Bay remain a contender because of his presence, or does trouble lie ahead?
9. Denver Broncos
Super bowl odds: +1600
The Broncos deserve a lot of credit for grabbing Russell Wilson this offseason. The AFC West is loaded but Denver should be right there with the Chiefs and Chargers. The Broncos are an intriguing Super Bowl bet because they could really flourish out of the gate with such an improvement at quarterback.
10. Cincinnati Bengals
Super Bowl odds: +2000
The Bengals have a better roster than last season, when they made the Super Bowl. That should point toward a year of dominance, but the division is tough and Cincinnati might regress in the passing game, which could hurt its chances. Cincy has a good team, but must still prove that it is great.
11. San Francisco 49ers
Super Bowl odds: +1400
The 49ers have one of the highest floors among the contenders. They have one of the best overall rosters in the NFL and a great head coach in Kyle Shanahan. But is Trey Lance ready to take the reins and find success? San Francisco needs him to live up to his draft status to truly make a Super Bowl push.
12. Dallas Cowboys
Super Bowl odds: +1600
The Cowboys lost several key pieces this offseason, including wideout Amari Cooper, right tackle La’el Collins and edge rusher Randy Gregory. Even so, there are a lot of talented players on both sides of the ball, and Dallas will be the clear favorite to win the NFC East again. The Cowboys have enough upside to be a contender if things go well.
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13. Indianapolis Colts
Super Bowl odds: +2500
The Colts needed to upgrade at quarterback and did so by trading for Matt Ryan. Is he good enough at this stage of his career to lead the team to a Super Bowl? That remains to be seen, but Indy is in an easy division and has one of the more well-rounded rosters in the NFL.
14. Arizona Cardinals
Super Bowl odds: +2500
The Cardinals sputtered down the stretch in 2021 and have gotten worse this offseason. They looked like Super Bowl contenders at times last season but were clearly a step behind the Rams, Packers, 49ers and Buccaneers when the playoffs rolled around. Kyler Murray needs to dominate in 2022 in order to lift Arizona into contention. He is talented enough to do so, but serious roster holes will make it an uphill battle.
15. Las Vegas Raiders
Super Bowl odds: +3500
The Raiders added Davante Adams and Chandler Jones to a 10-win team, but Las Vegas still looks like the fourth-best team in the AFC West. Derek Carr needs to have a career year in order for this team to hang with the Chiefs, Chargers and Broncos in the division, and with all the heavyweights in the AFC at large.
16. Miami Dolphins
Super Bowl odds: +3000
The Dolphins have some clear upside after adding several talented players in free agency, headlined by Tyreek Hill. The quarterback question is a big one, as Tua Tagovailoa still has much to prove, but he’s young enough to believe in improvement. If Tua makes strides, the Dolphins could surprise.
17. Philadelphia Eagles
Super Bowl odds: +4000
The Eagles went 9-8 last season with a plus-59 point-differential and have a pair of first-round picks to bolster the roster in the draft. If Jalen Hurts takes the next step, Philly could be more competitive than expected this year. If not, the Eagles will be big quarterback hunting next offseason.
18. New England Patriots
Super Bowl odds: +3500
The Patriots were one of the more impressive teams for a stretch of 2021, but were dominated by Buffalo in the playoffs. New England has a solid overall team and a legendary coach, but it’s fair to ask if Mac Jones has enough ability to carry this team into contention.
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19. Tennessee Titans
Super Bowl odds: +3000
The Titans went 12-5 a season ago but they never had the look of a true contender. Tennessee could be good in 2022 but there is a lack of upside unless Ryan Tannehill can get back to his unicorn 2019 campaign.
20. New Orleans Saints
Super Bowl odds: +3000
The Saints lost some good players and their coach this offseason, but should still be in wild card contention. Jameis Winston is better than most believe and should help keep New Orleans competitive on a weekly basis.
21. Minnesota Vikings
Super Bowl odds: +4000
The Vikings have a lot of good players, but beyond Justin Jefferson and Danielle Hunter, there aren’t a ton of game-changers. If Minnesota has some close-game luck it could certainly make the playoffs, but this very much feels like a .500 team.
22. Pittsburgh Steelers
Super Bowl odds: +6600
The Steelers have one of the best defenses in the NFL, but the lack of a passing game will torpedo any real chance at hanging with the big dogs in the AFC. Mitchell Trubisky will need to put together a career year to heighten the ceiling.
23. Washington Commanders
Super Bowl odds: +5000
The Commanders might have slightly more offensive upside than the Steelers, but the defense is not as good. Washington won’t be in the playoff hunt unless Carson Wentz can somehow find the magic elixir that had him among the NFL’s better quarterbacks early in his career.
24. Jacksonville Jaguars
Super Bowl odds: +10000
The Jaguars added several pieces on offense, including guard Brandon Scherff and wide receiver Christian Kirk. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence is heading into Year 2 and could make enough strides to get this team more competitive than projected. But Jacksonville still has a ways to go to even reach .500.
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25. New York Giants
Super Bowl odds: +10000
The Giants have a new regime, and maybe the departure of coach Joe Judge will allow quarterback Daniel Jones to finally flourish. But he has major issues taking care of the ball, and this roster has too many holes for New York to be in the NFC mix.
26. Seattle Seahawks
Super Bowl odds: +8000
If the Seahawks end up trading for Baker Mayfield they will be marginally better than with Drew Lock, but not enough to make a difference. Seattle needs to hit the reset button now that Russell Wilson is no longer around to cover up the roster deficiencies.
27. Carolina Panthers
Super Bowl odds: +10000
The Panthers were an intriguing team at one point last season, but eventually fell apart due to terrible quarterback play. They might draft a signal-caller early, but Kenny Pickett or Malik Willis is not going to drastically change this team’s fortunes as a rookie.
28. Chicago Bears
Super Bowl odds: +8000
The oddsmakers have more belief in this Bears team than I do. Chicago was bad last season and let a lot of talent bolt in free agency. Justin Fields needs to be great immediately for the Bears to compete for a playoff berth.
29. Atlanta Falcons
Super Bowl odds: +10000
I like Marcus Mariota, but even if he plays better than expected, Atlanta does not have the talent to be competitive this year.
30. New York Jets
Super Bowl odds: +15000
Some people believe Zach Wilson will make significant quarterback strides in Year 2. I am not one of those people.
31. Detroit Lions
Super Bowl odds: +15000
The Lions seem to be heading in the right direction, but it remains a slow process. Detroit would be wise to tank this year and try to get Bryce Young or C.J. Stroud in the 2023 draft.
32. Houston Texans
Super Bowl odds: +25000
The Texans will aim to make their trek back toward competitiveness beginning in 2023. But this season is going to be ugly again.
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