Italy Odds to Win Euro 2024

Italy Odds to Win Euro 2024 (Via BetMGM)

Italy’s History at the Euros

In recent times Italy have put up a strong showing during the Euros. As mentioned earlier, Italy are the defending champions of Europe. They defeated England in a penalty shootout at Euro 2021 despite the fact that England were playing on home soil at Wembley. In 2016 they were eliminated in the quarter-finals while in 2012 they lost to Spain in the final of the competition. Italy also won the tournament in 1968 and are behind only Spain and Germany in the list of all-time winners, who have each won the European Championship three times.

Italy Euro 2024 Group Stage Breakdown

Italy were placed in Group B of this year’s Euros which people have named the “Group of Death”. The group consisted of Spain and Croatia who were genuine contenders to win the tournament as well as Albania, who put up a strong performance in the qualifying rounds and managed to top their group finishing above the Czech Republic and Poland. Italy secured a second-placed finish in this group due to a last-second equaliser against Croatia.

Italy Euro 2024 Schedule

After finishing second in their group, Italy will face Switzerland on the 29th of June.

Italy Odds to Win Euro 2024

Italy are currently priced at 18/1 to win Euro 2024. Given the fact they failed to qualify for the World Cup in 2022 and finished 2nd in their qualifying group behind England, this feels like a fair price. England, France, Germany, Spain, and Portugal all have better squads than this Italian squad so it would be a surprise if they went on to win it. That’s not to say they can’t win it, however, and their performance at the 2021 euros proves that. They also went into Euro 2021 as underdogs with odds of 12/1.

Top Players For Italy in Euro 2024

As Italy’s squad does not have quite as much talent as some of the others in the competition, they will be needing their star players to really put in some good performances at this summers tournament. Below I will talk through some of the key players for Italy at Euro 2024.

Gianluigi Donnarumma

Although Donnarumma’s PSG career has had its ups and downs since he moved there from AC Milan, his Italy career has always remained consistent. He has been a huge part of Italy’s defence over the years and had an outstanding tournament at the last Euros, In 2021, he became the first goalkeeper in European Championships history to win the Player of the Tournament award. He is priced at 100/1 to repeat this. Donnarumma has had a strong start to the competition saving a crucial penalty aginst Croatia.

Nicolo Barella

Inter Milan midfielder Nicolo Barella’s performances will have a big impact on how Italy do at the European Championship. He is off the back of a fantastic season at Inter in which they dominated the Serie A winning it by nearly 20 points. Barella was amazing for Inter and picked up 2 goals and 6 assists while playing 37 games. However, it is not his goals and assists that make him a valuable asset. The midfielder is extremely dynamic and works very hard both in and out of possession. He is a great box-to-box midfielder and is a natural leader. With Marco Verratti unlikely to be called up, Barella will have to put up a good performance for Italy at this Euros. You can bet on Barella to pick up the most assists at this year’s Euros at odds of 66/1.

Federico Chiesa

Italy’s weak point over the past few years has been in attack. They have struggled to find a striker capable of leading the line for his nation and this looks to be the case again this year. Gianluca Scamacca has been in good form this season and was a key part of Atalanta winning the Europa League this year. However, his record in an Italian shirt has been dreadful. Italy will be hoping that Juventus winger Federico Chiesa can have the same run of form he had at the previous Euros where he was exceptional. He had a decent season in the Serie A this year and picked up eight goals. When he is at his best, Chiesa is a fantastic player who is very exciting to watch and if he can be at his best at this year’s Euros, he will be a very valuable asset to Italy. You can bet on Chiesa to win the Euro 2024 Player of the Tournament at odds of 100/1.

Italy Top Scorer Odds for Euro 2024

As mentioned previously, Italy’s main weakness in their squad is in attack. They do not have an elite striker like other countries do and there is no real number one choice to lead the line for them. This is shown in the odds to win the Golden Boot at the Euros. Right now, Gianluca Scamaccais is the Italian with the lowest odds of winning the Euros Golden Boot with odds of 50/1. Kylian Mbappe is the current favourite for the award at odds of 6/1 with Harry Kane being a very close second at odds of 7/1.

Italy Route to the Final

Italy’s route to the final has now been mapped out after they finished in second place in their group. Below i will talk you through Italy’s route to the final.

Round of 16

Italy will play Switzerland in their round of 16 clash.

Quarter Finals

If they defeat Switzerland, their most likely opponents will be England in a rematch of the 2021 final. This would be a very exciting draw as Gareth Southagte’s three lions will certainly be looking for revenge after suffering heartbreak in 2021.

Semi-Finals

If they were to knock out England, they would probably face Belgium in the semi-final.

Final

If they can reach the final they would likely face either Germany, France or Spain.

Expected Team Line Up for Italy at the Euros

Luciano Spalletti will have some tough decisions to make when deciding who to start this summer. Below I will be trying to predict Italy’s main starting 11 for Euro 2024

Goalkeeper

Goalkeeper was always a bit of a no-brainer. Gianluigi Donnarumma was always going to be the starting goalkeeper for Italy this summer.

Defenders

Spalletti has called upon his former Napoli captain Giovanni di Lorenzo at right back. On the other side, Destiny Udogie will be upset to miss out due to injury which has seen Dimarco play at left back this summer.

At centre back, Inter Milan’s Bastoni along with Bologna’s Calafiori have started for Spalleti’s side so far. With Calafiori in particular impressing despite his own goal against Spain.

Midfielders

Midfield was a relatively easy area to choose. Inter Milan’s Barella along with Arsenal’s Jorginho were always going to start while Inter Milan has started both games in midfield with them.

Attackers

As I have mentioned a few times now, Italy’s attack is a massive weakness in their squad. Federico Chiesa has started on the wing whilst Atalanta striker Scamacca has been given the nod due to his performances at this season however his form in an Italy shirt is not as good. On the left, Pellegrini has been starting for Italy.

Comparing Italy to Other Teams to Win Euro 2024

Italy are outsiders for the competition and rightfully so, they finished 2nd in their qualifying group on goal difference as they were level on points with Ukraine and also failed to qualify for the last World Cup. 16/1 odds seem generous to me especially considering they are in the hardest group in the tournament. Belgium at 22/1 seems to me like better a bet if you want to go against the favourites. If Italy are to pull off an upset they will have to get over some great teams. Below I will be comparing Italy to three of the favourites to win the competition.

England

England are the favourite for the competition. The squad is packed with talent such as Harry Kane, Bukayo Saka and Jude Bellingham. There probably isn’t another international football team that would even consider not bringing Marcus Rashford to the Euros despite his form. But due to the quality England have in those positions, he has not gone to Germany. Comparing this England side to the current Italian side it is clear that the English have the better squad. On the other hand, the same would have been said during Euro 2021 which the Azzurri eventually won. England’s odds to win Euro 2024 is 4/1.

Germany

Germany are the host nation for this tournament which will likely play as an advantage to them. To compare Germany’s squad to this Italian one all you have to do is take a look at some of the players Julian Nagelsmann has announced he will not be bringing. Could Italy afford to leave Leon Goretzka or Mats Hummels at home? I don’t think so, in fact they would likely be some of the first names on the squad. Anything can happen in football, especially international football, but Germany would fancy their chances if they were to come up against Italy. You can bet on Germany to win the Euros at odds of 5/1.

Portugal

Portugal are another side that on paper have a lot more quality than Italy. While Italy don’t have an elite striker, Portugal have two in Cristiano Ronaldo and Goncalo Ramos. Although Italy’s midfield is quite good, they don’t have a creator like Bruno Fernandes in their squad and if you gave me the option of Federico Chiesa or Rafael Leao, I’m taking Leao. Portugal definitely have it in them to capitulate which Italy could take advantage of should they play each other but I must admit if the two sides played each other in this competition I’d be backing Portugal. Portugal’s odds to win the Euros are 13/2.